Thursday, February 26, 2009

AGREED!!!!!

Commentary: Listen, Feds: Leave UBS Alone!
SECTORS:Banks
COMPANIES:UBS AG
By: Michelle Caruso-Cabrera, CNBC Reporter | 26 Feb 2009 | 12:23 PM ET
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Michelle Caruso-Cabrera 
General Assignment Reporter

The US government is going after Swiss banks to hand over their super-secret account details. This is so wrong. 
Leave UBS alone. It is hypocritical on the part of our government to do this. 

Do you know which country is the biggest tax haven in the entire world? The United States!

Foreigners have more than $4 trillion dollars in passive investments in the form of bank accounts or brokerage accounts in the US, according to Treasury figures that Dan Mitchell from the CATO Institute helped me dig up.

And guess what. The US does not tax interest or passive capital gains on foreigners. Yup, you read that right: The US government gives HUGE tax breaks to foreigners. Why? Because we want their money and we want to attract their capital to our economy. 

If a foreign government came to the United States and said "hand over information about all our citizens," we would tell them to go blow smoke. We don't do that. But now Congress wants Switzerland to do the same with UBS [UBS  10.11    1.35  (+15.41%)   ]. It's wrong.

Tax competition is a good thing. It should happen between states; it should happen between countries. The countries in the world that have the highest rates of tax evasion are the countries with the highest tax rates. That should be a lesson to governments, not a reason to prosecute.

Wednesday, February 25, 2009

Can your expectations be met???

Be careful of raising unrealistic expectations

I listened to the President’s address on TV last night.  Everyone was telling him you have to be more positive...and he was.  He has the toughest sales job on earth right now. He must convince us that the government can spend trillions of dollars and decrease the deficit in half in four years.  I don’t know about you but I ain’t buying it.

Car advertising makes the same mistake.  That advertised price of 399/month for the 2009 Cadillac CTS sounds good till you visit the dealership and find out it is a 3 year lease with 10% down and does not include taxes and fees.  Oh...also it is a bare bones CTS that they probably do not even have on the lot.  You leave angry and feel they have lied to you.

The customers that will add real value to your business and stick with you will be those who trust you.  You were honest and realistic in what you told them in the sales process.  They feel you are real and your words can be counted on.  They will stick with you even in the down times because you have been honest with them.

“Don’t raise expectations that you cannot meet.”

Monday, February 23, 2009

Citi, Citi, Citi......AGAIN!

Citigroup Inc. is in talks with federal officials that could result in the U.S. government substantially expanding its ownership of the struggling bank, according to people familiar with the situation.

While the discussions could fall apart, the government could wind up holding as much as 40% of Citigroup's common stock. Bank executives hope the stake will be closer to 25%, these people said.

Any such move would give federal officials far greater influence over one of the world's largest financial institutions. Citigroup has proposed the plan to its regulators. The Obama administration hasn't indicated if it supports the plan, according to people with knowledge of the talks.

When federal officials began pumping capital into U.S. banks last October, few experts would have predicted that the government would soon be wrestling with the possibility of taking voting control of large financial institutions. The potential move at Citigroup would give the government its biggest ownership of a financial-services company since the September bailout of insurer American International Group Inc., which left taxpayers with an 80% stake.

[Citibank signage]Associated Press

Citibank signage

The talks reflect a growing fear that Citigroup and other big U.S. banks could be overwhelmed by losses amid the recession and housing crisis. Last week, Citigroup's share price fell below $2 to an 18-year low. Bank executives increasingly believe that the government needs to take a larger ownership stake in the institution to stop the slide.

Under the scenario being considered, a substantial chunk of the $45 billion in preferred shares held by the government would convert into common stock, people familiar with the matter said. The government obtained those shares, equivalent to a 7.8% stake, in return for pumping capital into Citigroup.

The move wouldn't cost taxpayers additional money, but other Citigroup shareholders would see their stock diluted. A larger ownership stake by the government could fuel speculation that other troubled banks will line up for similar agreements.

Bank of America Corp. said Sunday that it isn't discussing a larger ownership stake for the government. "There are no talks right now over that issue," said Bank of America spokesman Robert Stickler. "We see no reason to do that. We believe the goal of public policy should be to attract private capital into the bank, not to discourage it."

Shareholders' Fears

Citigroup's low share price already reflects, at least in part, a fear among shareholders that their stakes might be further diluted. A government move to take a big stake could backfire, potentially spurring investors to flee other banks, even healthier ones.

There's no universal agreement on what constitutes nationalization of a bank. In the U.K., the government already owns 43% of Lloyds Banking Group PLC, and last week moved to increase its ownership of Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC to 70% from 58%. Those two banks have been classified as "public-sector entities," and as much as £1.5 trillion ($2.136 trillion) of their liabilities have been moved over to the country's balance sheet.

The White House has knocked down recent speculation that the government is preparing to nationalize several large U.S. banks.

The U.S.'s intentions with Citigroup remain unclear. For instance, it's not yet known whether the government would seek a stronger hand in the New York company's management or day-to-day operations.

As part of the plan, Citigroup officials hope to persuade private investors that have bought preferred shares -- such as the Government of Singapore Investment Corp., Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and Kuwait Investment Authority -- to follow the government's lead in converting some of those stakes into common stock, according to people familiar with the matter. That would further bolster an obscure but increasingly pivotal measure of banks' capital known as "tangible common equity," or TCE.

The TCE measurement, one of several gauges of a bank's financial strength, gives weight to common shares -- thus the interest in converting preferred shares to common stock.

Details of the rescue remain in flux. Key questions, such as the price at which the government will convert its preferred stock into common shares, haven't been resolved.

And it's possible that other options will emerge to stabilize the company. For example, the Obama administration could decide to sit tight until the results of several new "stress tests" on major banks -- broad examinations of financial health now being mandated -- are known in a couple months, one official said.

If the deal gets nailed down, it will be Washington's third effort to aid Citigroup since last fall. In October, the Treasury Department put a total of $125 billion into eight giant financial institutions, including $25 billion to Citigroup, in exchange for preferred shares and warrants to buy stock.

Then, shortly before Thanksgiving, the government agreed to infuse another $20 billion into Citigroup as its stock tumbled. It also agreed to protect the banking company against most losses on a $301 billion pool of assets.

Among the question marks looming over the current discussions is the future of Citigroup Chief Executive Vikram Pandit and the company's board.

Pandit's Future

In November, as part of the sweeping rescue, federal officials privately discussed the possibility of replacing Mr. Pandit, who became CEO in December 2007. But the government decided not to remove him, in large part due to a dearth of qualified replacements. Still, top government officials warned Mr. Pandit that a third trip to the taxpayer trough would probably cost him his job.

However, since the latest talks don't involve the possibility of Citigroup receiving additional government capital, it isn't clear whether Mr. Pandit's job is on the line. A Citigroup spokeswoman declined to comment.

Federal officials have been pushing Citigroup executives and the board's lead independent director, Richard Parsons, to shake up the 15-member board. Already, three directors, including former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin, have announced plans to step down this spring.

There are at least two catalysts for the recent talks with the government.

First, Citigroup's shares have fallen to historic lows. That doesn't pose a direct threat to the company's stability. But if it spooks customers into pulling their business, that could push the bank toward a dangerous downward spiral.

Second, bank regulators this week will start performing their battery of stress tests at the nation's largest banks as part of the Obama administration's industry-bailout plan. As part of those tests, the Federal Reserve is expected to dwell on the TCE measurement as a gauge of bank health, according to people familiar with the matter.

The crisis is triggering a deep re-examination of the way bank health is measured in the U.S. financial system. This complex exercise boils down to calculating various ratios of capital to a bank's total assets.

Until recently, TCE -- essentially a gauge of what common shareholders would get if an institution were dissolved -- has been one of the less prominent ways to measure a bank's vigor. TCE is also among the most conservative measures of financial health.

Bankers and regulators generally prefer to use what is known as "Tier 1" ratio of a bank's capital adequacy. It takes into account equity other than common stock. By Tier 1 measurements, most big banks, including Citigroup, appear healthy. Citigroup's Tier 1 ratio is 11.8%, well above the level needed to be classified as well-capitalized.

By contrast, most banks' TCE ratios indicate severe weakness. Citigroup's TCE ratio stood at about 1.5% of assets at Dec. 31, well below the 3% level that investors regard as safe.

The regulators' new focus on TCE represents an important shift. The government's recent injections into hundreds of institutions were predicated on the idea that Tier 1 was key. Because the investments weren't in the form of common stock, they didn't affect the companies' TCE ratios.

—Dan Fitzpatrick, Deborah Solomon and Damian Paletta contributed to this article.

Write to David Enrich at david.enrich@wsj.com and Monica Langley atmonica.langley@wsj.com

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Surprise them with the "unexpected".

There was a time people studied the auto industry to learn about success in sales.  My how times have changed.  When any groundbreaking product is new it does not take much to sell.  However, notice how things proceed in three stages.

Stage 1 - Meet Acceptable Minimum Standards - The first car or the first cell phone just needed to basically work and flaws were acceptable.  It didn’t matter that the only color was black or that you had to carry the phone battery around in a bag.  It was cool and new and people bought it.

Stage 2 - Enter the Competition - As the product evolves and improves consumers become more demanding and those who answer the call with a better mousetrap find their sales outperforming the others.  We wanted an AM/FM radio and choices of color.  

Stage 3 - Going Beyond Needs - Few companies reach this level.  They not only give the customers what they want but they surprise them with the unexpected.  Look at Disney and selling the amusement park or Lexus and a car that can park itself.  

“Stage 3...is imagination-driven and a company in this stage offers the possible service.” 

If you are only delivering what your customer’s need or want you will only be average.  If you can deliver what they love you will excel.  If you cannot find that in your products you must deliver it in the way you service them and their needs.

Tuesday, February 10, 2009

Vision......

John Maxwell says; “If you think you are a leader but nobody is following you then you are just going for a walk.”  You are not a leader because of the office you have or the title you have earned.  You are a leader if others are following you.  They believe in you and have learned to trust you.

Essential to good leadership is being the one with the vision.  We must not only have it but we must communicate it and live it.    If it isn’t shared with others in your organization it isn’t working.  If they don’t own it with you it will not be as powerful as it can be.

One factor in this is what some are calling the Vision Disease.  The problem is not a lack of vision but a vision that keeps changing too frequently.  It shifts to the newest idea or fad.  Some organizations die for lack of vision and lack of change.  Others fail because they are changing too much and are grasping for the next best thing.

Establish a clear cut vision that becomes owned by everyone and it is a powerful thing that will grow your business.  Then stay consistent and focused.  It is that consistency that will allow those around you to feel secure in your leadership and be better able to follow your lead.

George Smart Jr writes;  “At the very least, look at your own practice. Are you changing direction so frequently as to drive your spouse, your colleagues, or your clients crazy? Are you so brilliant a consultant that incoming cash flow obscures the many fits and starts you've thrown your practice into. As with most diseases, the cure starts at home.”  

Tuesday, February 3, 2009

What did you say????

Who Am I Listening To...

I watch Squawk Box on CNBC every morning while eating breakfast.  They always have guests addressing different topics relative to the market and the economy.  It has certainly been easy to fill the schedule with people whose outlook is bleak and saying we are heading toward disaster.  I can get the same from the Evening news, my local news and even the radio station I listen to in the car.  Even around the water cooler the natural drift will be toward the negative and what bad things are going to happen next.

How crucial is it that we are selective in what we listen to.  We can’t live in denial and not have our eyes open to the realities around us...but it is equally important that we balance the negative with the positive if we are going to encourage and lead those around us.  The darker the hour the more we need light and those around us need hope.

Listen to those who have maturity and wisdom in order to keep present fears in perspective.

Seek out those who have vision and are focused on the future so that you are charting a course toward success.

Become the voice of reason and hope so that those around you will be encouraged.  That attitude starts with you and needs to permeate your entire organization so that you can thrive and not just survive